Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
QuimsaHOME · -
75 : 802024.04.08 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.7%
VALUE EDGE+73.7%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
QuimsaAnalysis MetricsPenarol
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Quimsa
L · 71-56W · 86-90L · 86-84W · 98-84W · 71-53
Penarol
L · 93-78W · 88-76L · 64-78W · 79-61L · 73-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.31 | Quimsa | 78 : 73 | Penarol |
| 2026.02.03 | Quimsa | 89 : 66 | Penarol |
| 2025.10.09 | Penarol | 88 : 85 | Quimsa |
| 2024.06.19 | Quimsa | 91 : 60 | Penarol |
| 2024.06.16 | Penarol | 65 : 64 | Quimsa |
| 2024.06.14 | Penarol | 75 : 83 | Quimsa |
| 2024.06.11 | Quimsa | 70 : 85 | Penarol |
| 2024.06.09 | Quimsa | 79 : 47 | Penarol |
| 2024.04.08 | Quimsa | 75 : 80 | Penarol |
| 2023.12.06 | Penarol | 75 : 98 | Quimsa |