Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
RegatasHOME · -
69 : 612024.04.07 · 종료
ZarateAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.3%
VALUE EDGE+60.3%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
RegatasAnalysis MetricsZarate
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.25
158.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
146.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Regatas
L · 72-74L · 86-90L · 88-76L · 83-71L · 77-86
Zarate
W · 86-77L · 68-82L · 86-94L · 40-72W · 64-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.07 | Regatas | 69 : 61 | Zarate |
| 2023.12.03 | Zarate | 73 : 66 | Regatas |