Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

RiachueloHOME · -

93 : 782024.04.06 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.2%

VALUE EDGE+57.2%

FAIR ODDS1.75

GRADEA

RiachueloAnalysis MetricsPenarol

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

167.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

9.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 12.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.6 / 15

Prediction separation6.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Riachuelo

W · 76-80L · 94-72L · 101-108L · 77-81L · 81-67

Penarol

W · 88-76L · 64-78W · 79-61L · 73-82L · 74-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.06	Riachuelo	93 : 78	Penarol
2023.12.08	Penarol	87 : 74	Riachuelo
2023.02.05	Riachuelo	92 : 87	Penarol
2022.12.04	Penarol	80 : 88	Riachuelo