Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
FerroHOME · -
69 : 702024.04.04 · 종료
Boca JuniorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.1%
VALUE EDGE+63.1%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsBoca Juniors
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.33
160.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.83
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
L · 87-83L · 79-71L · 96-82L · 75-88L · 93-94
Boca Juniors
L · 83-81L · 82-69W · 75-77L · 71-53W · 98-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.11 | Boca Juniors | 81 : 90 | Ferro |
| 2025.12.30 | Ferro | 100 : 84 | Boca Juniors |
| 2024.04.04 | Ferro | 69 : 70 | Boca Juniors |
| 2023.10.08 | Boca Juniors | 77 : 66 | Ferro |
| 2023.02.02 | Boca Juniors | 68 : 69 | Ferro |
| 2022.10.31 | Ferro | 99 : 96 | Boca Juniors |
| 2021.09.28 | Boca Juniors | 97 : 69 | Ferro |