Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
GimnasiaHOME · -
87 : 832024.03.31 · 종료
FerroAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.0%
VALUE EDGE+75.0%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADES
GimnasiaAnalysis MetricsFerro
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
149.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gimnasia
W · 85-82L · 88-79W · 95-98L · 73-72W · 78-66
Ferro
L · 79-71L · 96-82L · 75-88L · 93-94W · 79-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.29 | Gimnasia | 73 : 61 | Ferro |
| 2026.06.03 | Gimnasia | 88 : 54 | Ferro |
| 2026.05.30 | Ferro | 81 : 73 | Gimnasia |
| 2026.05.29 | Ferro | 74 : 70 | Gimnasia |
| 2026.05.26 | Gimnasia | 79 : 74 | Ferro |
| 2026.05.24 | Gimnasia | 81 : 77 | Ferro |
| 2026.01.19 | Gimnasia | 88 : 75 | Ferro |
| 2025.11.22 | Ferro | 84 : 72 | Gimnasia |
| 2024.03.31 | Gimnasia | 87 : 83 | Ferro |
| 2023.10.24 | Ferro | 96 : 87 | Gimnasia |