Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Liga A Argentina

PenarolHOME · -

88 : 762024.03.25 · 종료

RegatasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.6%

VALUE EDGE+63.6%

FAIR ODDS1.57

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsRegatas

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better +4.17

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.17

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation11.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

L · 64-78W · 79-61L · 73-82L · 74-67W · 74-83

Regatas

L · 83-71L · 77-86W · 99-67L · 66-61W · 93-47

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.22	Regatas	67 : 86	Penarol
2025.10.04	Penarol	80 : 84	Regatas
2024.03.25	Penarol	88 : 76	Regatas
2023.10.12	Regatas	80 : 87	Penarol
2023.04.03	Penarol	63 : 58	Regatas
2022.10.16	Regatas	64 : 74	Penarol