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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
San LorenzoHOME · -
73 : 722024.03.16 · 종료
GimnasiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.3%
VALUE EDGE+64.3%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsGimnasia
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better +2.83
156.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.50
44.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 77.8%
2.6일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.6일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Lorenzo
W · 66-59W · 77-81L · 86-63W · 82-85L · 88-71
Gimnasia
W · 78-66W · 84-77W · 85-83L · 99-63L · 80-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.09San Lorenzo89 : 73Gimnasia
2026.03.31San Lorenzo73 : 81Gimnasia
2025.11.07Gimnasia84 : 63San Lorenzo
2024.03.16San Lorenzo73 : 72Gimnasia
2024.01.13Gimnasia75 : 67San Lorenzo
2023.04.09San Lorenzo85 : 79Gimnasia
2022.12.16Gimnasia81 : 67San Lorenzo
2021.10.13Gimnasia94 : 76San Lorenzo
2020.01.25San Lorenzo90 : 76Gimnasia
2019.10.13San Lorenzo80 : 72Gimnasia