Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
ArgentinoHOME · -
79 : 712024.03.13 · 종료
FerroAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.7%
VALUE EDGE+52.7%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
ArgentinoAnalysis MetricsFerro
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
158.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.67
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Argentino
L · 85-67L · 84-77L · 87-67L · 79-70L · 79-62
Ferro
L · 96-82L · 75-88L · 93-94W · 79-81L · 93-47
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.01 | Argentino | 79 : 68 | Ferro |
| 2026.04.06 | Ferro | 100 : 74 | Argentino |
| 2025.10.18 | Argentino | 80 : 97 | Ferro |
| 2024.03.13 | Argentino | 79 : 71 | Ferro |
| 2024.01.12 | Ferro | 88 : 71 | Argentino |
| 2023.03.05 | Argentino | 72 : 62 | Ferro |
| 2022.10.19 | Ferro | 66 : 58 | Argentino |
| 2021.09.25 | Ferro | 77 : 66 | Argentino |
| 2019.10.24 | Ferro | 90 : 70 | Argentino |
| 2019.10.19 | Argentino | 91 : 89 | Ferro |