Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
79 : 612024.03.08 · 종료
La UnionAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.1%
VALUE EDGE+56.1%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsLa Union
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.33
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.17
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 73-82L · 74-67W · 74-83W · 74-80L · 83-79
La Union
W · 75-88L · 85-83L · 85-78W · 83-79L · 79-100
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.15 | La Union | 91 : 85 | Penarol |
| 2025.10.20 | Penarol | 76 : 74 | La Union |
| 2024.03.08 | Penarol | 79 : 61 | La Union |
| 2024.02.05 | La Union | 83 : 79 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.28 | Penarol | 72 : 79 | La Union |
| 2022.10.14 | La Union | 77 : 72 | Penarol |