Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

PenarolHOME · -

73 : 822024.03.05 · 종료

OlimpicoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.8%

VALUE EDGE+60.8%

FAIR ODDS1.65

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsOlimpico

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.33

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.4일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.0 / 15

Prediction separation9.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

L · 74-67W · 74-83W · 74-80L · 83-79L · 73-56

Olimpico

W · 93-94W · 88-71W · 72-71W · 79-62L · 95-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.03	Olimpico	74 : 87	Penarol
2026.02.05	Olimpico	74 : 87	Penarol
2025.12.11	Penarol	82 : 76	Olimpico
2024.03.05	Penarol	73 : 82	Olimpico
2023.11.30	Olimpico	89 : 66	Penarol
2023.02.03	Olimpico	79 : 80	Penarol
2022.10.09	Penarol	78 : 93	Olimpico