Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
Instituto de CordobaHOME · -
74 : 672024.02.15 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.2%
VALUE EDGE+77.2%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
Instituto de CordobaAnalysis MetricsPenarol
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
149.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
4.4일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Instituto de Cordoba
L · 70-79W · 87-67L · 85-77W · 79-100W · 81-70
Penarol
W · 74-83W · 74-80L · 83-79L · 73-56W · 103-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.30 | Instituto de Cordoba | 68 : 83 | Penarol |
| 2025.10.13 | Penarol | 85 : 83 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2024.02.15 | Instituto de Cordoba | 74 : 67 | Penarol |
| 2023.11.21 | Penarol | 67 : 79 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2023.03.17 | Penarol | 69 : 83 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2023.02.09 | Instituto de Cordoba | 78 : 71 | Penarol |
| 2023.01.15 | Instituto de Cordoba | 80 : 89 | Penarol |
| 2022.12.13 | Penarol | 64 : 56 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2022.10.30 | Instituto de Cordoba | 83 : 68 | Penarol |