Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Liga A Argentina

Union De Santa FeHOME · -

74 : 832024.02.13 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.4%

VALUE EDGE+53.4%

FAIR ODDS1.87

GRADEA

Union De Santa FeAnalysis MetricsPenarol

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

167.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.1 / 15

Prediction separation2.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Union De Santa Fe

L · 87-72L · 103-75L · 77-88L · 85-64L · 81-64

Penarol

W · 74-80L · 83-79L · 73-56W · 103-75L · 87-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.05	Penarol	85 : 83	Union De Santa Fe
2025.11.20	Union De Santa Fe	63 : 82	Penarol
2024.02.13	Union De Santa Fe	74 : 83	Penarol
2024.01.24	Penarol	103 : 75	Union De Santa Fe
2023.04.12	Penarol	95 : 86	Union De Santa Fe
2022.12.14	Union De Santa Fe	81 : 90	Penarol