Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

PenarolHOME · -

103 : 752024.01.24 · 종료

Union De Santa FeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.8%

VALUE EDGE+65.8%

FAIR ODDS1.52

GRADES

PenarolAnalysis MetricsUnion De Santa Fe

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.00

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation13.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

L · 87-86W · 77-84W · 92-76W · 87-85W · 87-74

Union De Santa Fe

L · 77-88L · 85-64L · 81-64L · 73-85L · 73-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.05	Penarol	85 : 83	Union De Santa Fe
2025.11.20	Union De Santa Fe	63 : 82	Penarol
2024.02.13	Union De Santa Fe	74 : 83	Penarol
2024.01.24	Penarol	103 : 75	Union De Santa Fe
2023.04.12	Penarol	95 : 86	Union De Santa Fe
2022.12.14	Union De Santa Fe	81 : 90	Penarol