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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
FerroHOME · -
76 : 712023.12.22 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58
160.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.42
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%
5.4일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
L · 92-74L · 91-84L · 64-85L · 79-77L · 83-53
San Martin
W · 75-84W · 94-75L · 77-83W · 83-70L · 77-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.21San Martin71 : 65Ferro
2025.10.15Ferro69 : 66San Martin
2024.02.12San Martin79 : 81Ferro
2023.12.22Ferro76 : 71San Martin
2023.01.12San Martin92 : 74Ferro
2021.10.28San Martin65 : 57Ferro