Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
92 : 762023.12.21 · 종료
Comunicaciones MercedesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsComunicaciones Mercedes
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
0.0%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.08
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.58
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.9 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
W · 87-85W · 87-74L · 75-98L · 83-75L · 89-66
Comunicaciones Mercedes
L · 93-94L · 71-78L · 88-85L · 77-72L · 83-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.11 | Comunicaciones Mercedes | 74 : 80 | Penarol |
| 2023.12.21 | Penarol | 92 : 76 | Comunicaciones Mercedes |
| 2023.03.20 | Comunicaciones Mercedes | 99 : 78 | Penarol |
| 2023.02.17 | Penarol | 85 : 70 | Comunicaciones Mercedes |