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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
Obera TCHOME · -
80 : 782023.12.20 · 종료
RiachueloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.9%
VALUE EDGE+63.9%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEB
Obera TCAnalysis MetricsRiachuelo
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.92
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Obera TC
W · 93-94W · 77-83L · 66-85L · 71-84L · 80-75
Riachuelo
W · 64-73L · 87-74W · 64-70W · 76-75W · 95-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.18Riachuelo95 : 81Obera TC
2023.12.20Obera TC80 : 78Riachuelo
2023.04.17Riachuelo85 : 96Obera TC
2023.01.12Obera TC90 : 66Riachuelo
2021.09.24Riachuelo87 : 79Obera TC