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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
ArgentinoHOME · -
75 : 842023.12.20 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +67.1%
VALUE EDGE+67.1%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
ArgentinoAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58
158.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.42
62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
32.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
67.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Argentino
W · 86-85L · 83-96L · 84-78L · 95-77L · 69-70
San Martin
W · 94-75L · 77-83W · 83-70L · 77-70L · 76-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.11Argentino82 : 79San Martin
2026.03.29Argentino79 : 82San Martin
2025.11.01San Martin94 : 78Argentino
2024.04.06San Martin76 : 56Argentino
2023.12.20Argentino75 : 84San Martin
2023.01.27San Martin61 : 59Argentino
2023.01.20Argentino72 : 60San Martin