Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
87 : 852023.12.17 · 종료
GimnasiaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.8%
VALUE EDGE+53.8%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsGimnasia
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.83
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.50
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
77.8%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
W · 87-74L · 75-98L · 83-75L · 89-66L · 67-79
Gimnasia
L · 86-85W · 96-62W · 88-71L · 87-69W · 79-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.22 | Penarol | 77 : 73 | Gimnasia |
| 2025.12.06 | Gimnasia | 93 : 67 | Penarol |
| 2024.04.28 | Gimnasia | 79 : 86 | Penarol |
| 2023.12.17 | Penarol | 87 : 85 | Gimnasia |
| 2023.04.15 | Gimnasia | 96 : 90 | Penarol |
| 2023.04.05 | Penarol | 76 : 91 | Gimnasia |
| 2021.10.12 | Gimnasia | 83 : 89 | Penarol |
| 2019.10.23 | Gimnasia | 78 : 64 | Penarol |
| 2019.10.11 | Penarol | 76 : 69 | Gimnasia |