Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

PenarolHOME · -

87 : 742023.12.08 · 종료

RiachueloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY66.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +66.0%

VALUE EDGE+66.0%

FAIR ODDS1.52

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsRiachuelo

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.92

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.0 / 15

Prediction separation13.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

34.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

66.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

L · 75-98L · 83-75L · 89-66L · 67-79L · 88-65

Riachuelo

W · 64-70W · 76-75W · 95-77L · 79-82L · 92-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.06	Riachuelo	93 : 78	Penarol
2023.12.08	Penarol	87 : 74	Riachuelo
2023.02.05	Riachuelo	92 : 87	Penarol
2022.12.04	Penarol	80 : 88	Riachuelo