Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
Independiente de OlivaHOME · -
83 : 752023.12.02 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.2%
VALUE EDGE+71.2%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
Independiente de OlivaAnalysis MetricsPenarol
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
166.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Independiente de Oliva
W · 88-85L · 92-68L · 86-83L · 84-66L · 79-50
Penarol
L · 89-66L · 67-79L · 88-65L · 80-73L · 81-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Independiente de Oliva | 102 : 107 | Penarol |
| 2025.12.22 | Penarol | 76 : 87 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2024.05.18 | Penarol | 86 : 77 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2023.12.02 | Independiente de Oliva | 83 : 75 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.11 | Penarol | 93 : 97 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2022.11.02 | Independiente de Oliva | 83 : 80 | Penarol |