Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
QuimsaHOME · -
77 : 702023.12.01 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.7%
VALUE EDGE+70.7%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADES
QuimsaAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Quimsa
W · 84-78W · 78-69W · 80-75W · 89-93W · 64-74
San Martin
L · 76-75W · 83-69W · 76-81W · 61-78L · 64-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.21 | Quimsa | 64 : 79 | San Martin |
| 2025.11.04 | San Martin | 79 : 69 | Quimsa |
| 2024.03.30 | San Martin | 86 : 84 | Quimsa |
| 2023.12.01 | Quimsa | 77 : 70 | San Martin |
| 2023.03.17 | San Martin | 60 : 64 | Quimsa |
| 2022.10.29 | Quimsa | 79 : 73 | San Martin |
| 2021.09.25 | San Martin | 94 : 65 | Quimsa |
| 2021.02.28 | San Martin | 66 : 72 | Quimsa |