Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

OlimpicoHOME · -

89 : 662023.11.30 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY19.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +80.7%

VALUE EDGE+80.7%

FAIR ODDS1.24

GRADEB

OlimpicoAnalysis MetricsPenarol

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

168.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

80.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

19.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Olimpico

W · 77-72W · 87-81W · 98-71W · 80-83L · 73-72

Penarol

L · 67-79L · 88-65L · 80-73L · 81-66L · 89-106

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.03	Olimpico	74 : 87	Penarol
2026.02.05	Olimpico	74 : 87	Penarol
2025.12.11	Penarol	82 : 76	Olimpico
2024.03.05	Penarol	73 : 82	Olimpico
2023.11.30	Olimpico	89 : 66	Penarol
2023.02.03	Olimpico	79 : 80	Penarol
2022.10.09	Penarol	78 : 93	Olimpico