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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
RiachueloHOME · -
76 : 752023.11.29 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.6%
VALUE EDGE+51.6%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
RiachueloAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58
163.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.42
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 12.5%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Riachuelo
W · 95-77L · 79-82L · 92-84W · 79-50L · 90-102
San Martin
W · 83-69W · 76-81W · 61-78L · 64-66L · 67-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.01San Martin81 : 67Riachuelo
2023.11.29Riachuelo76 : 75San Martin
2023.03.02San Martin88 : 64Riachuelo
2023.02.16Riachuelo84 : 75San Martin
2021.09.28Riachuelo65 : 67San Martin