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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
OlimpicoHOME · -
77 : 722023.11.28 · 종료
Comunicaciones MercedesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.5%
VALUE EDGE+82.5%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADES
OlimpicoAnalysis MetricsComunicaciones Mercedes
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better -14.08
168.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.58
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
9.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olimpico
W · 87-81W · 98-71W · 80-83L · 73-72W · 90-102
Comunicaciones Mercedes
L · 83-69L · 80-75L · 64-77W · 76-75W · 87-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.29Comunicaciones Mercedes74 : 110Olimpico
2023.11.28Olimpico77 : 72Comunicaciones Mercedes
2023.03.30Olimpico106 : 98Comunicaciones Mercedes
2023.03.24Comunicaciones Mercedes87 : 81Olimpico
2021.09.28Olimpico80 : 70Comunicaciones Mercedes