Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

San LorenzoHOME · -

83 : 532023.11.25 · 종료

FerroAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY28.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +71.9%

VALUE EDGE+71.9%

FAIR ODDS1.39

GRADEB

San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsFerro

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.17

156.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.67

44.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 22.2%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

71.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

28.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

San Lorenzo

W · 92-68W · 88-65W · 64-77W · 64-66W · 73-71

Ferro

W · 80-73L · 64-74L · 67-64W · 96-87W · 96-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.24	Ferro	90 : 77	San Lorenzo
2026.01.16	San Lorenzo	96 : 69	Ferro
2024.05.24	Ferro	80 : 81	San Lorenzo
2023.11.25	San Lorenzo	83 : 53	Ferro
2022.12.01	Ferro	80 : 48	San Lorenzo
2021.10.17	San Lorenzo	72 : 71	Ferro