Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
67 : 792023.11.21 · 종료
Instituto de CordobaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsInstituto de Cordoba
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.08
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.4일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 88-65L · 80-73L · 81-66L · 89-106L · 72-92
Instituto de Cordoba
W · 84-66L · 69-83L · 78-74W · 82-84L · 72-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.30 | Instituto de Cordoba | 68 : 83 | Penarol |
| 2025.10.13 | Penarol | 85 : 83 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2024.02.15 | Instituto de Cordoba | 74 : 67 | Penarol |
| 2023.11.21 | Penarol | 67 : 79 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2023.03.17 | Penarol | 69 : 83 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2023.02.09 | Instituto de Cordoba | 78 : 71 | Penarol |
| 2023.01.15 | Instituto de Cordoba | 80 : 89 | Penarol |
| 2022.12.13 | Penarol | 64 : 56 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2022.10.30 | Instituto de Cordoba | 83 : 68 | Penarol |