Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
La UnionHOME · -
76 : 812023.11.15 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
La UnionAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
167.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
La Union
L · 76-75L · 83-80L · 72-74L · 72-64L · 90-72
San Martin
W · 61-78L · 64-66L · 67-59W · 70-85L · 72-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.17 | San Martin | 74 : 60 | La Union |
| 2025.12.27 | La Union | 75 : 91 | San Martin |
| 2024.04.03 | San Martin | 69 : 58 | La Union |
| 2023.11.15 | La Union | 76 : 81 | San Martin |
| 2023.04.04 | San Martin | 87 : 88 | La Union |
| 2023.02.20 | La Union | 97 : 84 | San Martin |
| 2021.10.14 | La Union | 72 : 74 | San Martin |
| 2019.10.21 | La Union | 88 : 70 | San Martin |
| 2019.09.29 | San Martin | 90 : 68 | La Union |