Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

ArgentinoHOME · -

81 : 662023.11.12 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.6%

VALUE EDGE+50.6%

FAIR ODDS1.98

GRADEA

ArgentinoAnalysis MetricsPenarol

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-1.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

157.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

13.5일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.1 / 15

Prediction separation0.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Argentino

L · 92-80L · 87-82L · 76-86L · 68-80L · 103-77

Penarol

L · 89-106L · 72-92W · 80-87L · 105-71L · 98-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.16	Penarol	69 : 74	Argentino
2026.01.13	Argentino	84 : 83	Penarol
2024.05.11	Penarol	84 : 77	Argentino
2023.11.12	Argentino	81 : 66	Penarol
2023.01.13	Penarol	92 : 82	Argentino
2022.12.11	Argentino	72 : 73	Penarol
2021.09.28	Argentino	70 : 90	Penarol