Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
Independiente de OlivaHOME · -
67 : 592023.10.21 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Independiente de OlivaAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
166.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Independiente de Oliva
W · 90-72L · 86-78L · 79-64L · 76-88L · 90-68
San Martin
W · 70-85L · 72-82W · 88-77W · 81-66W · 90-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.05 | Independiente de Oliva | 90 : 80 | San Martin |
| 2026.01.14 | San Martin | 67 : 68 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2024.04.27 | San Martin | 68 : 63 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2023.10.21 | Independiente de Oliva | 67 : 59 | San Martin |
| 2023.04.15 | San Martin | 90 : 68 | Independiente de Oliva |
| 2023.03.04 | Independiente de Oliva | 87 : 80 | San Martin |