Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
PenarolHOME · -
72 : 922023.10.16 · 종료
Boca JuniorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.0%
VALUE EDGE+55.0%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsBoca Juniors
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.33
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.83
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
W · 80-87L · 105-71L · 98-84L · 94-78W · 88-89
Boca Juniors
W · 68-56W · 77-66L · 77-51L · 64-73L · 78-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.18 | Boca Juniors | 86 : 70 | Penarol |
| 2025.11.07 | Penarol | 89 : 78 | Boca Juniors |
| 2024.04.30 | Boca Juniors | 87 : 83 | Penarol |
| 2023.10.16 | Penarol | 72 : 92 | Boca Juniors |
| 2023.04.26 | Boca Juniors | 98 : 84 | Penarol |
| 2023.04.24 | Boca Juniors | 94 : 78 | Penarol |
| 2023.04.17 | Boca Juniors | 92 : 82 | Penarol |
| 2022.11.24 | Penarol | 86 : 81 | Boca Juniors |
| 2021.09.26 | Penarol | 77 : 86 | Boca Juniors |
| 2019.10.09 | Penarol | 85 : 65 | Boca Juniors |