Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
RegatasHOME · -
80 : 872023.10.12 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEB
RegatasAnalysis MetricsPenarol
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+3.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
155.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Regatas
W · 79-70L · 86-89L · 64-57W · 71-82L · 58-71
Penarol
L · 105-71L · 98-84L · 94-78W · 88-89L · 92-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.22 | Regatas | 67 : 86 | Penarol |
| 2025.10.04 | Penarol | 80 : 84 | Regatas |
| 2024.03.25 | Penarol | 88 : 76 | Regatas |
| 2023.10.12 | Regatas | 80 : 87 | Penarol |
| 2023.04.03 | Penarol | 63 : 58 | Regatas |
| 2022.10.16 | Regatas | 64 : 74 | Penarol |