Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
Boca JuniorsHOME · -
68 : 562023.10.11 · 종료
San LorenzoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.5%
VALUE EDGE+77.5%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADES
Boca JuniorsAnalysis MetricsSan Lorenzo
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.50
165.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.50
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Boca Juniors
W · 77-66L · 77-51L · 64-73L · 78-83W · 72-75
San Lorenzo
W · 73-62L · 68-65L · 73-59W · 90-81W · 99-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.04 | San Lorenzo | 77 : 83 | Boca Juniors |
| 2025.11.16 | Boca Juniors | 78 : 74 | San Lorenzo |
| 2024.06.15 | San Lorenzo | 68 : 77 | Boca Juniors |
| 2024.06.14 | San Lorenzo | 77 : 67 | Boca Juniors |
| 2024.06.11 | Boca Juniors | 91 : 47 | San Lorenzo |
| 2024.06.08 | Boca Juniors | 79 : 77 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.10.11 | Boca Juniors | 68 : 56 | San Lorenzo |
| 2022.11.26 | Boca Juniors | 94 : 91 | San Lorenzo |
| 2022.11.05 | San Lorenzo | 69 : 75 | Boca Juniors |
| 2021.09.24 | San Lorenzo | 60 : 78 | Boca Juniors |