Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina

Obera TCHOME · -

105 : 712023.10.10 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.7%

VALUE EDGE+68.7%

FAIR ODDS1.46

GRADEA

Obera TCAnalysis MetricsPenarol

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Obera TC

W · 103-77L · 59-68L · 62-80W · 85-96W · 97-63

Penarol

L · 98-84L · 94-78W · 88-89L · 92-82L · 96-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.17	Obera TC	84 : 81	Penarol
2025.11.23	Penarol	71 : 87	Obera TC
2024.04.12	Penarol	74 : 57	Obera TC
2023.10.10	Obera TC	105 : 71	Penarol
2023.03.22	Obera TC	90 : 81	Penarol
2022.12.19	Penarol	68 : 71	Obera TC