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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina
Comunicaciones MercedesHOME · -
97 : 792023.10.09 · 종료
RiachueloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.2%
VALUE EDGE+68.2%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Comunicaciones MercedesAnalysis MetricsRiachuelo
0.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-14.08 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42
155.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.92
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
68.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Comunicaciones Mercedes
W · 78-74L · 66-88L · 81-97W · 81-90L · 85-66
Riachuelo
W · 91-94L · 93-100L · 94-83L · 85-74W · 103-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.09Riachuelo101 : 108Comunicaciones Mercedes
2023.10.09Comunicaciones Mercedes97 : 79Riachuelo
2023.02.09Riachuelo106 : 94Comunicaciones Mercedes
2023.01.14Comunicaciones Mercedes76 : 80Riachuelo
2021.10.01Riachuelo92 : 85Comunicaciones Mercedes