Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina
Boca JuniorsHOME · -
77 : 662023.10.08 · 종료
FerroAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.6%
VALUE EDGE+69.6%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADES
Boca JuniorsAnalysis MetricsFerro
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
165.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Boca Juniors
L · 77-51L · 64-73L · 78-83W · 72-75L · 85-68
Ferro
W · 81-97L · 97-63W · 81-75L · 70-89L · 84-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.11 | Boca Juniors | 81 : 90 | Ferro |
| 2025.12.30 | Ferro | 100 : 84 | Boca Juniors |
| 2024.04.04 | Ferro | 69 : 70 | Boca Juniors |
| 2023.10.08 | Boca Juniors | 77 : 66 | Ferro |
| 2023.02.02 | Boca Juniors | 68 : 69 | Ferro |
| 2022.10.31 | Ferro | 99 : 96 | Boca Juniors |
| 2021.09.28 | Boca Juniors | 97 : 69 | Ferro |