Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · Liga A - Quarter-finals
QuimsaHOME · -
64 : 572023.05.09 · 종료
RegatasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.0%
VALUE EDGE+80.0%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
QuimsaAnalysis MetricsRegatas
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.92
152.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.25
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Quimsa
W · 81-90L · 94-81L · 91-73W · 77-48W · 88-71
Regatas
W · 71-82L · 58-71L · 84-77W · 83-87L · 87-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.18 | Quimsa | 69 : 70 | Regatas |
| 2025.11.06 | Regatas | 66 : 75 | Quimsa |
| 2024.04.02 | Regatas | 86 : 90 | Quimsa |
| 2024.02.02 | Quimsa | 98 : 93 | Regatas |
| 2023.05.13 | Regatas | 86 : 89 | Quimsa |
| 2023.05.09 | Quimsa | 64 : 57 | Regatas |
| 2023.03.19 | Regatas | 77 : 75 | Quimsa |
| 2022.11.23 | Quimsa | 94 : 75 | Regatas |
| 2021.09.25 | Quimsa | 90 : 88 | Regatas |
| 2019.11.03 | Quimsa | 97 : 96 | Regatas |