Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · Liga A - Final
San LorenzoHOME · -
90 : 812023.05.03 · 종료
AtenasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsAtenas
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.92
156.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.75
44.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Lorenzo
W · 99-65L · 82-91W · 85-79L · 98-85L · 79-73
Atenas
L · 99-65L · 90-70L · 69-80L · 81-90W · 96-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.06 | San Lorenzo | 76 : 67 | Atenas |
| 2025.10.21 | Atenas | 85 : 92 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.05.17 | San Lorenzo | 73 : 62 | Atenas |
| 2023.05.12 | Atenas | 68 : 65 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.05.10 | Atenas | 73 : 59 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.05.03 | San Lorenzo | 90 : 81 | Atenas |
| 2023.05.01 | San Lorenzo | 99 : 65 | Atenas |
| 2023.02.16 | Atenas | 71 : 58 | San Lorenzo |
| 2022.10.14 | San Lorenzo | 82 : 72 | Atenas |