Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 5
PenarolHOME · -
69 : 832023.03.17 · 종료
Instituto de CordobaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.0%
VALUE EDGE+51.0%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsInstituto de Cordoba
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.17
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.50
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
W · 77-61L · 87-72L · 93-97L · 78-92L · 84-91
Instituto de Cordoba
W · 89-76W · 72-84W · 70-62W · 84-88W · 78-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.30 | Instituto de Cordoba | 68 : 83 | Penarol |
| 2025.10.13 | Penarol | 85 : 83 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2024.02.15 | Instituto de Cordoba | 74 : 67 | Penarol |
| 2023.11.21 | Penarol | 67 : 79 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2023.03.17 | Penarol | 69 : 83 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2023.02.09 | Instituto de Cordoba | 78 : 71 | Penarol |
| 2023.01.15 | Instituto de Cordoba | 80 : 89 | Penarol |
| 2022.12.13 | Penarol | 64 : 56 | Instituto de Cordoba |
| 2022.10.30 | Instituto de Cordoba | 83 : 68 | Penarol |