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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 27
FerroHOME · -
88 : 872023.03.17 · 종료
AtenasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.5%
VALUE EDGE+80.5%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsAtenas
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -7.33
160.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.50
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
W · 89-72L · 72-62L · 79-83L · 80-81W · 68-69
Atenas
L · 103-71L · 60-82L · 72-84W · 71-58L · 104-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.13Atenas91 : 86Ferro
2026.02.07Ferro93 : 79Atenas
2025.11.18Atenas76 : 78Ferro
2023.03.17Ferro88 : 87Atenas
2022.11.05Atenas68 : 85Ferro