Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 14
PenarolHOME · -
78 : 922023.03.07 · 종료
Obras SanitariasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsObras Sanitarias
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.42
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.92
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
0.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 84-91W · 85-70W · 103-84L · 78-71L · 74-92
Obras Sanitarias
L · 80-79W · 83-82W · 95-85L · 75-87L · 105-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.24 | Penarol | 73 : 81 | Obras Sanitarias |
| 2025.12.08 | Obras Sanitarias | 95 : 86 | Penarol |
| 2024.05.02 | Obras Sanitarias | 89 : 98 | Penarol |
| 2023.10.19 | Penarol | 89 : 106 | Obras Sanitarias |
| 2023.04.19 | Obras Sanitarias | 88 : 89 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.07 | Penarol | 78 : 92 | Obras Sanitarias |
| 2021.09.29 | Obras Sanitarias | 68 : 75 | Penarol |