Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina · 19

FerroHOME · -

79 : 832023.02.20 · 종료

RiachueloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY35.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +64.8%

VALUE EDGE+64.8%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADEA

FerroAnalysis MetricsRiachuelo

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42

160.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.92

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

12.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation12.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

64.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

35.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ferro

L · 80-81W · 68-69W · 86-87W · 85-96L · 86-81

Riachuelo

W · 84-75W · 106-94W · 92-87L · 77-70L · 67-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.19	Riachuelo	73 : 86	Ferro
2024.01.20	Ferro	70 : 76	Riachuelo
2023.02.20	Ferro	79 : 83	Riachuelo
2022.11.07	Riachuelo	85 : 79	Ferro