Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina · 21

PenarolHOME · -

85 : 702023.02.17 · 종료

Comunicaciones MercedesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.1%

VALUE EDGE+65.1%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsComunicaciones Mercedes

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -14.08

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.58

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.4 / 15

Prediction separation12.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

W · 103-84L · 78-71L · 74-92L · 92-87W · 79-80

Comunicaciones Mercedes

L · 95-85W · 78-96L · 106-94W · 92-81L · 82-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Comunicaciones Mercedes	74 : 80	Penarol
2023.12.21	Penarol	92 : 76	Comunicaciones Mercedes
2023.03.20	Comunicaciones Mercedes	99 : 78	Penarol
2023.02.17	Penarol	85 : 70	Comunicaciones Mercedes