Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 23
PenarolHOME · -
103 : 842023.02.09 · 종료
AtenasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.8%
VALUE EDGE+74.8%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsAtenas
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.33
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.50
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 78-71L · 74-92L · 92-87W · 79-80W · 76-83
Atenas
L · 72-69L · 83-73L · 97-62L · 73-91L · 68-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.01 | Atenas | 95 : 85 | Penarol |
| 2025.12.13 | Penarol | 87 : 67 | Atenas |
| 2023.02.09 | Penarol | 103 : 84 | Atenas |
| 2022.10.29 | Atenas | 56 : 82 | Penarol |