Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 30
Obera TCHOME · -
79 : 692023.01.31 · 종료
San LorenzoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Obera TCAnalysis MetricsSan Lorenzo
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.92
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.08
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Obera TC
W · 76-70W · 68-59L · 74-61W · 70-76L · 77-60
San Lorenzo
L · 77-84W · 73-68L · 75-99L · 71-105L · 81-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.18 | San Lorenzo | 73 : 78 | Obera TC |
| 2025.10.01 | Obera TC | 85 : 76 | San Lorenzo |
| 2024.06.02 | Obera TC | 80 : 93 | San Lorenzo |
| 2024.05.30 | San Lorenzo | 86 : 73 | Obera TC |
| 2024.05.13 | Obera TC | 80 : 86 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.10.21 | San Lorenzo | 73 : 71 | Obera TC |
| 2023.01.31 | Obera TC | 79 : 69 | San Lorenzo |
| 2022.11.17 | San Lorenzo | 94 : 91 | Obera TC |