Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina · 20

PlatenseHOME · -

83 : 892023.01.22 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.7%

VALUE EDGE+59.7%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

PlatenseAnalysis MetricsPenarol

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

165.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.1 / 15

Prediction separation8.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Platense

W · 94-80W · 87-91W · 78-67W · 71-77W · 61-84

Penarol

W · 88-102W · 75-99W · 80-89L · 103-47W · 92-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.03.08	Penarol	79 : 72	Platense
2025.11.18	Platense	88 : 89	Penarol
2024.04.20	Penarol	99 : 56	Platense
2024.01.19	Platense	87 : 86	Penarol
2023.01.22	Platense	83 : 89	Penarol
2022.12.08	Penarol	73 : 70	Platense
2021.10.14	Penarol	70 : 75	Platense