Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 18
San LorenzoHOME · -
73 : 682023.01.22 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-4.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.25
153.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.58
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
22.2%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Lorenzo
L · 75-99L · 71-105L · 81-67L · 79-89L · 74-86
San Martin
L · 72-60W · 77-60W · 92-74L · 81-64L · 65-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.09 | San Martin | 77 : 72 | San Lorenzo |
| 2025.10.13 | San Lorenzo | 63 : 81 | San Martin |
| 2024.04.13 | San Lorenzo | 87 : 76 | San Martin |
| 2023.11.09 | San Martin | 64 : 66 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.03.29 | San Martin | 92 : 63 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.01.22 | San Lorenzo | 73 : 68 | San Martin |
| 2017.01.08 | San Lorenzo | 70 : 59 | San Martin |