Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 17
San LorenzoHOME · -
75 : 992023.01.18 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.1%
VALUE EDGE+50.1%
FAIR ODDS2.00
GRADEA
San LorenzoAnalysis MetricsPenarol
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.25
153.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.75
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation0.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Lorenzo
L · 71-105L · 81-67L · 79-89L · 74-86L · 82-94
Penarol
W · 80-89L · 103-47W · 92-82L · 76-85L · 68-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | San Lorenzo | 85 : 92 | Penarol |
| 2026.03.15 | Penarol | 71 : 79 | San Lorenzo |
| 2025.09.27 | San Lorenzo | 82 : 74 | Penarol |
| 2024.04.23 | Penarol | 80 : 75 | San Lorenzo |
| 2023.11.16 | San Lorenzo | 88 : 65 | Penarol |
| 2023.01.18 | San Lorenzo | 75 : 99 | Penarol |
| 2022.10.21 | Penarol | 79 : 70 | San Lorenzo |
| 2021.10.15 | San Lorenzo | 88 : 73 | Penarol |
| 2019.10.19 | Penarol | 89 : 90 | San Lorenzo |
| 2019.09.30 | San Lorenzo | 89 : 84 | Penarol |