Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 26
RegatasHOME · -
71 : 612023.01.14 · 종료
FerroAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
RegatasAnalysis MetricsFerro
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.58
155.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Regatas
W · 80-87W · 83-84L · 61-84W · 79-89L · 80-74
Ferro
L · 92-74L · 102-69W · 97-77W · 80-78W · 80-48
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.19 | Regatas | 85 : 87 | Ferro |
| 2026.05.16 | Ferro | 71 : 79 | Regatas |
| 2026.05.14 | Ferro | 90 : 75 | Regatas |
| 2026.05.11 | Regatas | 81 : 60 | Ferro |
| 2026.05.09 | Regatas | 89 : 95 | Ferro |
| 2026.03.24 | Regatas | 77 : 70 | Ferro |
| 2025.12.19 | Ferro | 77 : 79 | Regatas |
| 2024.02.10 | Regatas | 93 : 47 | Ferro |
| 2023.10.18 | Ferro | 71 : 81 | Regatas |
| 2023.02.08 | Ferro | 80 : 81 | Regatas |