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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 12
Boca JuniorsHOME · -
81 : 642022.12.21 · 종료
San MartinAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.5%
VALUE EDGE+55.5%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Boca JuniorsAnalysis MetricsSan Martin
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -9.25
165.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 22.2%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation4.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Boca Juniors
W · 87-91L · 102-107W · 75-84W · 94-91L · 86-81
San Martin
L · 65-62W · 85-70W · 86-60L · 74-70L · 79-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.07Boca Juniors90 : 63San Martin
2026.05.01San Martin97 : 101Boca Juniors
2026.04.28Boca Juniors83 : 81San Martin
2026.04.25Boca Juniors98 : 95San Martin
2026.01.29San Martin85 : 79Boca Juniors
2025.10.02Boca Juniors89 : 56San Martin
2024.05.22San Martin64 : 72Boca Juniors
2024.01.14Boca Juniors86 : 71San Martin
2023.03.10San Martin81 : 71Boca Juniors
2022.12.21Boca Juniors81 : 64San Martin