Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 25
PenarolHOME · -
68 : 712022.12.19 · 종료
Obera TCAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.8%
VALUE EDGE+52.8%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsObera TC
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.42
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 67-94W · 81-90W · 64-56W · 72-73W · 73-70
Obera TC
W · 65-74W · 65-62W · 77-62W · 68-76L · 80-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.17 | Obera TC | 84 : 81 | Penarol |
| 2025.11.23 | Penarol | 71 : 87 | Obera TC |
| 2024.04.12 | Penarol | 74 : 57 | Obera TC |
| 2023.10.10 | Obera TC | 105 : 71 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.22 | Obera TC | 90 : 81 | Penarol |
| 2022.12.19 | Penarol | 68 : 71 | Obera TC |